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Monday, June 29, 2009

Specialize In Trading USD (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

Suppose you have the data for the currency correlations of the major pairs. The correlation between GBP/USD and EUR/USD is 0.68. It means that both the pairs move in the same direction 68% of the time.

USD/CHF and EUR/USD have a correlation coefficient of -0.975 and is pretty close to minus one. The negative correlation coefficient means both USD/CHF and EUR/USD pairs move in the opposite direction almost 97.5% of the time. In other words, if USD/CHF moves up, the pair EUR/USD will move down!

You have this information. It tells you how much these pairs move in the same or opposite directions. Suppose you trade both the pairs USD/CHF and EUR/USD by going long at the same time. What you will be doing is in fact canceling both the positions.

If you make pips on USD/CHF pair, you will lose pips on EUR/USD pair and the two trades would effectively cancel each other. A savvy currency trader would go long on USD/CHF currency pair. At the same time he/she will go short on EUR/USD currency pair. So he/she will be shorting USD in both the trades. It is a way of diversifying the USD bearish investment.

You can make trade entry and exit decisions based on currency correlations. Suppose GBP/USD starts showing volatility and approaches a resistance level. You anticipate going long on a breakout.

However, you notice on the charts that the other three major currency pairs are not showing volatility and moving as much as the GBP/USD. EUR/USD is not showing volatility and moving up on the chart. USD/CHF is not showing much volatility and moving down on the chart. USD/JPY is also not showing much volatility and not moving down on the chart. This means that the volatility in GBP/USD is solely GBP driven. The move is maybe related to some news in the British economy about Bank of England raising or lowering interest rates or some big companies merging.

You know now that the move in GBP/USD pair is GBP driven. The move is not US Dollar driven. You have isolated the cause of movement in GBP/USD pair and can take advantage of this information. Ignore the GBP driven move. Dont enter into any trade. Wait for a later opportunity. An opportunity that involves simultaneous correlated moves of all the major pairs!

Lets take another example. Suppose you have taken a short position on EUR/USD pair. You want to be sure whether the pair will proceed down towards your profit target. You also want to know can it go against you and cause you to exit the trade with a small loss.

Your EUR/USD has broken the S1 support pivot level and heading towards M1. By looking at the pair EUR/GBP, you find that it has paused at its S1 support pivot level and is showing signs of reversing to the upside.

Knowledge of currency correlations can tell you if EUR/GBP breaks through the S1 level, you are poised for a profitable trade in this type of a situation, However, you should watch the indicators and exit before taking a big loss if it reverses and heads back to the upside. You might consider trading a basket of all the major currencies as you mature in forex trading. - 23200

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Explaining Hedge Funds

By Sara Ferguson

Heres the first thing you should know about hedge funds: They have no clear identity or definition. In the investment world, I run a hedge fund has the same meaning as Im a consultant in the rest of the business world. The speaker may be managing money and making millions, or she may want a socially acceptable reason for not having a real job. The person who really manages money may go about her business in any number of ways, from highly conservative investing to wildly aggressive risk taking. She may be beating the market handily, or she may be barely squeaking by.

Im not trying to say that the term hedge fund means nothing. Heres the short answer: A hedge fund is a lightly regulated investment partnership that uses a range of investment techniques and invests in a wide array of assets to generate a higher return for a given level of risk than whats expected of normal investments. In many cases, but hardly all, hedge funds are managed to generate a consistent level of return, regardless of what the market does. Before I get to the longer, more complicated explanation of hedge funds, however, it helps to know exactly what hedging is.

Hedging means reducing risk, which is what many hedge funds are designed to do. Maybe youve hedged a risky bet with a friend before by making a conservative bet on the side. But a hedge fund manager doesnt reduce risk by investing in conservative assets. Although risk is usually a function of return (the higher the risk, the higher the return), a hedge fund manager has ways to reduce risk without cutting into investment income. She can look for ways to get rid of some risks while taking on others with an expected good return, often by using sophisticated techniques.

For example, a fund manager can take stock-market risk out of the funds portfolio by selling stock index futures. Or she can increase her return from a relatively low risk investment by borrowing money, known as leveraging. If youre interested in investing in hedge funds, you need to know how the fund managers are making money.

Return is a function of risk. The challenge for the hedge fund manager is to eliminate some risk while gaining return on investments " not a simple task, which is why hedge fund managers get paid handsomely if they succeed. - 23200

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Learn How to Trade Quickly and Overcome Your Frustrations

By Alex Miller

One of the most difficult things about getting started whenever you're trading in Forex is the fact that so many people that are trying to teach you how to do it make it seem as if it is a big process. The simple fact of the matter is, you can get started with Forex rather easily provided you follow a few simple rules and have a basic understanding of the process.

The first thing that you need to understand about the Forex market is the fact that it is a zero-sum market. You're not going to find any trades that happened on the Forex market in which money is somehow generated, each trade is equally balanced. Since you are trading one currency for another, there is going to be somebody that comes out on the winning end and somebody that comes out on the losing end, it is as simple as that.

Even though you may not realize this, it is not possible for you to trade on forex without going through a broker who is qualified to place the trade for you. Although you have the opportunity to access the broker over the telephone, many people are simply going with an online platform because of the benefits that it gives to you. One of the main benefits that comes from using an online platform is the fact that you can trade in real time.

Some of the additional benefits that you get by using an online platform include tutorials that will walk you through every step of the process as well as some advanced tools which will automate part of your trading. They will also be able to help you to gauge which direction the Forex market might be moving, but there are other tools that do that as well.

A number of other tools fall into similar categories, although they are different in nature. The first of these is a type of system that you can run once per day or per week in order to see which direction the Forex market is moving. Some of these are fairly accurate but keep in mind, the Forex market can be quite volatile. The other tools are either automated or partially automated systems which allow you to trade, even whenever you're not sitting at the computer.

One thing that you should keep in mind, however, is the fact that none of these automated tools should ever be run without at least a little bit of input on your part. People use these automated systems regularly and many of them are finding success in doing so. Just keep in mind that unless you keep your eye on what is going on, the program could make wrong decisions and could cost you a considerable amount of money. They are excellent tools but use them wisely.

The Forex market is a great way for you to be able to build back up a portfolio that may have seen better times before the world economy had so many problems. It is also a great way for you to get started in any type of trading. All that is really necessary is for you to understand the basic principles behind Forex and then you can jump right in with both feet. Make sure that you continue to learn and you will be able to be successful with your trading practices. - 23200

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My Thoughts On Fap Turbo

By Mike Sol

The internet is basically cluttered with thousands of bogus reviews and outrageous sales pages that all harp about how effective a product is and how youll be an instant millionaire once you try it out.

And most of us are just fed up with that that we instantaneously classify any sort of thing that falls into that category as a scam. So when I found out of a new product and I tested it just to make sure that I dont fall for those fake reviews.

FAP Turbo is one of those automated Forex programs that help us trade in the foreign exchange market. By nature, these programs must be able to have an efficient system, provide ease of use, give out consistent results and ultimately lead to profits for the user.

According to their sales page, the FAP Turbo will help you start earning huge amounts of money even if you do not have to always be behind the computer because the program works wonderful on autopilot. The only kind of effort you do is in installing the program. By the end of the year, you can make a million out of your meager $500.

All these claims are outrageous but I decided to really put them through the fire.

First thing to tackle is the efficiency of the system. I found out that FAP Turbo actually started with a more basic program called the Forex Autopilot system. It allowed users to earn a decent income of between the figures $3,000 and $6,000. However, the FAP Turbo is a few more notches better than the Forex Autopilot system with a user earning $30,000 in 90 days according to a test trial all managing consistent results.

The next thing that we observed with the FAP Turbo is that it took as little as 5 minutes to install the program.

Right after the installation, you can start running the program immediately. This is perfect for those who are not tech savvy, newbies who have just started trading and experienced traders looking for a way to simplify things.

What ticks other people off is the sluggish customer support but the FAP Turbo doesnt have any problem in that area. If you sent any query at all, youll get a relevant response in the next 24 hours.

And if in the unfortunate case that you are unsatisfied with their service, theyll give your money back within 60 days. - 23200

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Forex Tutorial: Currency Pairs and Forex Quotes

By Bart Icles

If you are new to the forex market, you might find forex quotes confusing. Do not allow yourself to be overwhelmed with forex quotes. In fact, reading forex quotes can be quite easy.

In reading forex quotes or currency pairs, there are two important things that you must keep in mind. First is that the currency being quoted first is what we refer to as the base currency. Second is that the value of base currency always equals to 1.

The centerpiece or focus of the forex market is the US Dollar. It is also often quoted as the base currency for a lot of pairs. A currency pair that has the US Dollar as the base currency is what we call "major". Examples of major currency pairs are USD/JPY, USD/CAD, and USD/CHF. In major currency pairs, quoted currencies are expressed as the US Dollar, specifically, one (1) US Dollar for every, or a fraction of the, unit of the second currency quoted in the pair.

As an example, let us take the US Dollar and the Swiss Franc. In the currency pair USD/CHF, the base currency is the US Dollar. In the quote USD/CHF = 1.0806, one unit of the US Dollar is equivalent to 1.0806 units of Swiss Francs.

If a currency goes up, you must take note of the base currency. In the aforementioned pair, the US Dollar is the base currency. If the quote goes up, it simply means the value of the US Dollar has increased compared with the value of the Swiss Franc. If the quote goes down, then one can easily conclude that the value of the US Dollar has depreciated to a certain degree.

There are cases when the US Dollar is not the base currency. We often see the US Dollar as the quoted currency when it is paired with the Australian Dollar (AUD), British Pound (GBP), and Euro (EUR). Let us take the AUD/USD currency pair quoted at 0.8044. This shows that one unit of Australian Dollar is equivalent to 0.8044 or less than one unit of US Dollar. One can conclude that the Australian Dollar is weaker than the US Dollar. If the quote goes up, then it means that the US Dollar has weakened against the Australian Dollar.

Currency pairs do not always involve the US Dollar. These currency pairs are referred to as cross currencies. Examples of which are EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY, CHF/JPY, and EUR/SGD. Let us take the currency EUR/SGD pair quoted at 2.0373. This shows that one unit of Euro is equivalent to more than two units of Singapore Dollar or 2.0373 Singapore dollars. - 23200

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