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Sunday, November 22, 2009

Real Estate Investment - Cash homes buyers

By Judson Barrera

It is amusing to me to hear the variety of opinions on the economy. It's funny how "experts" seem to emerge onto the scene while people grope for answers that would, hopefully, reveal a ray of hope. Nonetheless, our economy will do what it will do regardless of what the pundits predict.

Around the first quarter of the year the country saw a steep decline in the retail values of the housing market. In fact, it happened to be 60%, and even though the 2nd and 3rd quarters had minor gains, it was only a slowdown of the overall process. Today, realtors are predicting that there will be a slow steady rise in home values. According to them, it's smooth sailing from here.

Let's examine this line of thought. Better yet, we will look at the facts and see whether or not these guys are really in touch with reality. Most of us have heard of the principle of "supply and demand." It's really very simple. Price is predicated upon the demand for a product balanced by its availability. Back in spring 2007 potential buyers began to hold back after observing a winter where over-inflated home prices were no longer inflating. When the seasonal market opened in the 2nd quarter buyers were now reluctant to pay prices without regard for the usual cautionary considerations like before. It was a bit of a sobering time for many. Since then deflation has been the trend.

Now, traditionally families prefer to move during the school summer break. How many are content to transfer their family's residence once school is back in? Not most. Hence, there is greater demand during this time and prices are logically driven upwards.......even if only a little.

Recall the federal mandate to banks temporarily holding up the flow of foreclosures hitting the market. This occurred nationwide during this time of greater demand. Where was the supply now? With a sizeable percentage of all listings on the market held back (foreclosures), the falling values across the board would naturally slow if not reverse slightly. And that is exactly what the market experienced. The supply was lower while the demand was higher.

So what exactly does this mean for the future? Well, once school rolled around, September brought about several foreclosures. Even though things looked great just one month prior, the supply started growing and the demand was falling short. Right now you will find a healthy supply of foreclosures that haven't even been processed. So you can most likely see much of the same until next spring.

Keep in mind this isn't just the low tier homes either. You will find a plethora of "A paper" loans in the big pile, mostly due to financially sound reasons. These are individuals who have large household incomes, but couldn't make their payments for one reason or another. However, there are several who could make their payments, but decided to get out from under the huge debt in the current market. Two years from now they can purchase the same home for much less, and be in a better financial position. In the end it just makes sense.

What it comes down to is there are interesting real estate investment opportunities for cash homes buyers. This is why we purchase homes in the U.S. during these specific market conditions. If you can apply the "supply and demand" scenario, chances are you can make insane profits. - 23200

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