FAP Turbo

Make Over 90% Winning Trades Now!

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Trading Volatility and Adjustments with Options

By Donald Scott

In this article we'd like to explain adjustment beliefs which can be practical in running an options account. This individual strategy can be practical to each and every type of option spread such as the Credit Spread, Iron Butterflies, Iron Condors, Double Diagonals, as well as others.

As this is being written in October of 2008 the VIX is as high as it's been. Look at a 5 year chart and see where we are. This level of volatility has made options quite expensive. Before we make any adjustments to our portfolios, we always think about the volatility. Where is it now and where is it going? Should we be buying or selling options at this moment?

A very common mistake that option traders make is buying or selling options at the wrong time. If we buy options when the volatility is at a high, we are entering a trade with odds against us. Option traders that do this don't realize why their options lose value so fast. Every option trading adjustment should be made by thinking of the option Greeks and volatility. We really need to understand these fundamentals to succeed in the options market.

A STUDY IN TODAY'S OPTION MARKET

Let's say that we have on an Iron Condor, and the market has been in an uptrend for two weeks. If this is the case, then we might be looking at an adjustment right? We are getting close to our short strike, and we need to do something to manage our risk. In this situation the IV of the asset has probably been dropping, since the IV normally moves the opposite direction of the underlying being traded. So, what do we do? Well, if the IV is at support and the technicals indicate that it might rise again, then we'd be looking at doing a positive Vega adjustment.

There are many option strategies and morphing concepts, so how can we make a good decision on what to do in this case? A critical step in the decision making is graphing the current volatility inside the options market. We usually use the VIX and RVX. Is the volatility bottomed and increasing? Is it at a peak and coming back down? Is it barely moving? What is happening in the options market and where is the volatility in relationship to its history? We additionally need to study the technical analysis of our traded asset. Where is the price headed? We have to comprehend Vega and the other option Greeks to accomplish high probability changes to our positions. In today's example, if the volatility prediction is up, it would make sense to add some positive Vega to our portfolio.

Some positive Vega strategies include Broken Wing Butterflies, Debit Spreads and Calendars. There are many more techniques which we discuss in our mentoring program.

To conclude, if the stock market moves against you when you are in an option spread, then always study the IV of your underlying asset. Knowing what is going on with volatility can really help you make better decisions on managing your portfolio. This will definitely reduce your exposure to risk while increase your chances of being a profitable trader. - 23200

About the Author:

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]

<< Home