Review Currency and Commodity Trading Techniques, Target Gold, Oil and CRB Currency Pairs Alternatives
When we consider currency and commodity trading it relates to the currencies of countries where a proportion of their output and exports are commodities, such as raw materials like copper, oil and precious metals and agricultural products like wheat, soybean or timber.
It would of course be correct to call the currencies of a number of countries around the world commodity currencies if we use a very wide description. For keen followers of currency and commodity trading however, the term refers to three major countries where commodities represent a substantial component of output and exports.
The Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar and Canadian dollar are all affected by movements in the price of global commodities, with gold price movements strongly reflected in changes in the Australian dollar, while the Canadian dollar has a strong relationship with the price of crude oil. Meanwhile the New Zealand dollar (or Kiwi), while not linked to a particular commodity like the other two currencies, displays a general correlation with movements in the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index.
Let's consider what happens as gold strengthens? We can expect to observe a similar rise in the AUD/USD pair (the Aussie), as all currencies trade in pairs. This equates to a strengthening of the Australian dollar versus the US dollar, or put it another way, the US dollar is weakening in that pair. The onset of economic uncertainty in the global economy, such as recession or rising inflation, prompts investors to move into gold as it is regarded as a safe haven. Currency and commodity traders will also see how gold links to the Aussie, and trade this pair instead.
Australia gets a significant percentage of its output from commodities and over 50 per cent of its exports are from this source, with gold, other precious metals and copper playing a big role. Take a look at trading data to see the strongly positive correlation of the Aussie and gold. This means a switched-on trader can either trade gold futures or an ETF, or gain exposure to AUD/USD in the spot forex market.
Followers of currency and commodity trading will know that Canada is a major commodities producing nation and specifically one of the worlds largest crude oil producers. Accordingly, there is a fairly strong negative correlation between movements in the USD/CAD (the Loonie) pair and the price of crude oil.
Canada is a major oil supplier to its neighbour the USA, which in turn consumes more oil than any other economy. A low crude oil price would be bad news for the Canadian dollar, though positive for both the US economy and US dollar. Any trader bearish about the outlook for crude oil prices could as a proxy go short the Canadian dollar in the forex market, instead of going short Nymex crude or buying inverse ETF's in oil.
Looking at all three of these currency pairs gives currency and commodity trading followers a real opportunity to choose spot forex trading as a way of capturing the movements in the commodity markets, either for gold, crude oil or across the whole spectrum of commodities. There is always a bull market in currency trading, it just depends which currency in the pair you are long or short. - 23200
It would of course be correct to call the currencies of a number of countries around the world commodity currencies if we use a very wide description. For keen followers of currency and commodity trading however, the term refers to three major countries where commodities represent a substantial component of output and exports.
The Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar and Canadian dollar are all affected by movements in the price of global commodities, with gold price movements strongly reflected in changes in the Australian dollar, while the Canadian dollar has a strong relationship with the price of crude oil. Meanwhile the New Zealand dollar (or Kiwi), while not linked to a particular commodity like the other two currencies, displays a general correlation with movements in the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index.
Let's consider what happens as gold strengthens? We can expect to observe a similar rise in the AUD/USD pair (the Aussie), as all currencies trade in pairs. This equates to a strengthening of the Australian dollar versus the US dollar, or put it another way, the US dollar is weakening in that pair. The onset of economic uncertainty in the global economy, such as recession or rising inflation, prompts investors to move into gold as it is regarded as a safe haven. Currency and commodity traders will also see how gold links to the Aussie, and trade this pair instead.
Australia gets a significant percentage of its output from commodities and over 50 per cent of its exports are from this source, with gold, other precious metals and copper playing a big role. Take a look at trading data to see the strongly positive correlation of the Aussie and gold. This means a switched-on trader can either trade gold futures or an ETF, or gain exposure to AUD/USD in the spot forex market.
Followers of currency and commodity trading will know that Canada is a major commodities producing nation and specifically one of the worlds largest crude oil producers. Accordingly, there is a fairly strong negative correlation between movements in the USD/CAD (the Loonie) pair and the price of crude oil.
Canada is a major oil supplier to its neighbour the USA, which in turn consumes more oil than any other economy. A low crude oil price would be bad news for the Canadian dollar, though positive for both the US economy and US dollar. Any trader bearish about the outlook for crude oil prices could as a proxy go short the Canadian dollar in the forex market, instead of going short Nymex crude or buying inverse ETF's in oil.
Looking at all three of these currency pairs gives currency and commodity trading followers a real opportunity to choose spot forex trading as a way of capturing the movements in the commodity markets, either for gold, crude oil or across the whole spectrum of commodities. There is always a bull market in currency trading, it just depends which currency in the pair you are long or short. - 23200
About the Author:
The author, William Davies, is a keen observer of commodities and writes for an informational website on trading commodities. Learn more about how you could benefit from currency and commodity trading in the world markets.
posted by X - Men @ 11:28 AM
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